La serie de la temperatura fue extraĆda de la base de datos del IDEAM, se tuvieron en cuenta los promedios diarios de las temperaturas en grados centigrados (°C) registradas en BogotĆ” en las diferentes estaciones meteorológicas que recolectaron información de esos dĆas. La serie de tiempo cuenta con un total de 1826 registros, de los cuales 13 (0.7%) fueron imputados puesto que no se presentaba la información necesaria. Esta imputación fue realizada a partir del mĆ©todo de vecinos mĆ”s cercanos (KNN), donde se tuvierón en cuenta 5 vecinos.
Para el modelar la serie de la temperatura se usara inicialmente un modelo SARIMA, seguido de redes recurrentes simples, LSTM y finalmente GRU. Para seleccionar el mejor modelo se tomarƔ como criterio el error cuadrƔtico medio.
pip install pmdarima
Looking in indexes: https://pypi.org/simple, https://us-python.pkg.dev/colab-wheels/public/simple/
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Installing collected packages: statsmodels, pmdarima
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import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import plotly.express as px
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import sklearn as sk
from sklearn import impute
from sklearn import preprocessing
from pmdarima.arima import auto_arima
from statsmodels.tsa.stattools import adfuller
import sklearn.externals
import joblib
from sklearn.model_selection import TimeSeriesSplit
from sklearn.impute import KNNImputer
from statsmodels.graphics.tsaplots import plot_acf
from statsmodels.graphics.tsaplots import plot_pacf
import sklearn.preprocessing
import math
import sklearn.externals
import joblib
import plotly.graph_objects as go
from sklearn import metrics
import statsmodels.api as sm
import statsmodels.tsa.stattools as ts
from statsmodels.tsa.statespace.sarimax import SARIMAX
%matplotlib inline
import plotly.io as pio
pio.renderers.default='notebook'
from google.colab import drive
drive.mount('/content/drive')
Mounted at /content/drive
df = pd.read_csv("/content/drive/Shareddrives/Mineria /Temperatura1.csv", sep=';', header=0, decimal = ',')
Fecha = pd.date_range(start='2017-01-01', end='2021-12-31', freq='D')
df['Fecha'] = Fecha
df = df.set_index('Fecha')
print(df[pd.isnull(df.ValorObservado)])
print('En total hay' ,
str(df['ValorObservado'].isnull().sum()) ,
'valores sin información')
print('Correspondientes al {:.3f}% del total'
.format(df['ValorObservado'].isnull().sum()*100/len(df)))
ValorObservado Fecha 2017-08-12 NaN 2017-12-24 NaN 2019-09-15 NaN 2019-09-16 NaN 2019-09-17 NaN 2020-11-12 NaN 2021-01-05 NaN 2021-01-06 NaN 2021-01-07 NaN 2021-01-08 NaN 2021-08-18 NaN 2021-08-20 NaN 2021-12-05 NaN En total hay 13 valores sin información Correspondientes al 0.712% del total
La serie presenta valores faltantes, por lo tantol se imputaran usando el método de vecinos mÔs cercanos (KNN), como se muestra a continuación.
#Imputación de Valores usando el vecino mÔs cercano
imput = KNNImputer(n_neighbors=5, weights="uniform")
# Ajustamos el modelo e imputamos los missing values
imput.fit(df[['ValorObservado']])
df['ValorObservado'] = imput.transform(df[['ValorObservado']]).ravel()
print()
print("Valores pƩrdidos en ValorObservado: " ,
str(df['ValorObservado'].isnull().sum()))
Valores pƩrdidos en ValorObservado: 0
fig = px.line(df, x=df.index, y="ValorObservado")
fig.update_xaxes(title_text="Fecha")
fig.show()
Para el respectivo anƔlisis se tomarƔn el 80% de los datos para entrenamiento y validacion, el 20% restantes para prueba, dichos valores corresponden a 1460 y 365 respectivamente.
train_size = len(df[:1465])
test_size = len(df) - train_size
X_train, X_test = df.iloc[0:train_size], df.iloc[train_size:len(df)]
len_train = len(X_train)
len_test = len(X_test)
seq_len = 20
print(len_train, len_test)
1465 361
adfstat, pvalue, critvalues, resstore=adfuller(X_train,regression="nc",maxlag=9,store=True,regresults=True)####maxlag es importante
print(resstore.resols.summary())
resultadoadf=adfuller(X_train,regression="nc")
print('ADF Statistic: %f' % resultadoadf[0])
print('P-value: %f' % resultadoadf[1])
for key, value in resultadoadf[4].items():
print('\t%s: %.3f' % (key, value))
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/tsatools.py:824: FutureWarning: trend 'nc' has been renamed to 'n' after 0.14 is released. Use 'n' now to avoid this warning.
OLS Regression Results
=======================================================================================
Dep. Variable: y R-squared (uncentered): 0.136
Model: OLS Adj. R-squared (uncentered): 0.131
Method: Least Squares F-statistic: 25.38
Date: Wed, 23 Nov 2022 Prob (F-statistic): 7.64e-41
Time: 01:32:44 Log-Likelihood: -1409.2
No. Observations: 1456 AIC: 2836.
Df Residuals: 1447 BIC: 2884.
Df Model: 9
Covariance Type: nonrobust
==============================================================================
coef std err t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
x1 -0.0006 0.001 -0.400 0.689 -0.003 0.002
x2 -0.3579 0.026 -13.586 0.000 -0.410 -0.306
x3 -0.2746 0.028 -9.855 0.000 -0.329 -0.220
x4 -0.1894 0.029 -6.590 0.000 -0.246 -0.133
x5 -0.1459 0.029 -4.948 0.000 -0.204 -0.088
x6 -0.0908 0.030 -3.068 0.002 -0.149 -0.033
x7 -0.0812 0.029 -2.770 0.006 -0.139 -0.024
x8 -0.0980 0.028 -3.447 0.001 -0.154 -0.042
x9 -0.0786 0.027 -2.936 0.003 -0.131 -0.026
==============================================================================
Omnibus: 129.718 Durbin-Watson: 1.995
Prob(Omnibus): 0.000 Jarque-Bera (JB): 780.948
Skew: 0.109 Prob(JB): 2.63e-170
Kurtosis: 6.581 Cond. No. 33.0
==============================================================================
Notes:
[1] R² is computed without centering (uncentered) since the model does not contain a constant.
[2] Standard Errors assume that the covariance matrix of the errors is correctly specified.
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/tsatools.py:824: FutureWarning: trend 'nc' has been renamed to 'n' after 0.14 is released. Use 'n' now to avoid this warning.
ADF Statistic: -0.361488 P-value: 0.552031 1%: -2.567 5%: -1.941 10%: -1.617
La prueba nos indica la presencia de una raĆz unitaria, por lo tanto se procede a diferenciarla.
dif_dataset=X_train.diff(periods=1)
dif_dataset=dif_dataset.dropna()
fig = px.line(dif_dataset, x=dif_dataset.index, y="ValorObservado")
fig.update_xaxes(title_text="Fecha")
fig.show()
adfstat, pvalue, critvalues, resstore=adfuller(dif_dataset,regression="nc",maxlag=9,store=True,regresults=True)####maxlag es importante
print(resstore.resols.summary())
resultadoadf=adfuller(dif_dataset,regression="nc")
print('ADF Statistic: %f' % resultadoadf[0])
print('P-value: %f' % resultadoadf[1])
for key, value in resultadoadf[4].items():
print('\t%s: %.3f' % (key, value))
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/tsatools.py:824: FutureWarning: trend 'nc' has been renamed to 'n' after 0.14 is released. Use 'n' now to avoid this warning. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/tsatools.py:824: FutureWarning: trend 'nc' has been renamed to 'n' after 0.14 is released. Use 'n' now to avoid this warning.
OLS Regression Results
=======================================================================================
Dep. Variable: y R-squared (uncentered): 0.656
Model: OLS Adj. R-squared (uncentered): 0.654
Method: Least Squares F-statistic: 275.3
Date: Wed, 23 Nov 2022 Prob (F-statistic): 0.00
Time: 01:32:45 Log-Likelihood: -1404.3
No. Observations: 1454 AIC: 2829.
Df Residuals: 1444 BIC: 2882.
Df Model: 10
Covariance Type: nonrobust
==============================================================================
coef std err t P>|t| [0.025 0.975]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
x1 -2.5418 0.155 -16.417 0.000 -2.845 -2.238
x2 1.1798 0.146 8.060 0.000 0.893 1.467
x3 0.8967 0.136 6.616 0.000 0.631 1.162
x4 0.6980 0.123 5.657 0.000 0.456 0.940
x5 0.5443 0.110 4.938 0.000 0.328 0.760
x6 0.4437 0.096 4.628 0.000 0.256 0.632
x7 0.3475 0.080 4.332 0.000 0.190 0.505
x8 0.2290 0.064 3.604 0.000 0.104 0.354
x9 0.1205 0.045 2.648 0.008 0.031 0.210
x10 0.0680 0.027 2.533 0.011 0.015 0.121
==============================================================================
Omnibus: 130.012 Durbin-Watson: 1.992
Prob(Omnibus): 0.000 Jarque-Bera (JB): 776.875
Skew: 0.122 Prob(JB): 2.01e-169
Kurtosis: 6.573 Cond. No. 29.1
==============================================================================
Notes:
[1] R² is computed without centering (uncentered) since the model does not contain a constant.
[2] Standard Errors assume that the covariance matrix of the errors is correctly specified.
ADF Statistic: -12.369790
P-value: 0.000000
1%: -2.567
5%: -1.941
10%: -1.617
graph1=plot_acf(dif_dataset,lags=60,adjusted=False)
graph2=plot_pacf(dif_dataset,lags=30,method='ldbiased')
A partir de los correlogramas se sugiere el ajuste de un modelo $ARIMA(4,1,2)$. El modelo se ajustara en los datos de entrenamiento definidos anteriormente, sin embargo, hagamos uso de autoarima para ver el mejor modelo usando el criterio BIC.
auto = auto_arima(X_train, error_action='ignore',max_p=4,d=1,max_q=2,max_order=6,seasonal=True,information_criterion='bic')
auto.summary()
| Dep. Variable: | y | No. Observations: | 1465 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model: | SARIMAX(2, 1, 2) | Log Likelihood | -1402.617 |
| Date: | Wed, 23 Nov 2022 | AIC | 2815.234 |
| Time: | 01:33:04 | BIC | 2841.678 |
| Sample: | 01-01-2017 | HQIC | 2825.097 |
| - 01-04-2021 | |||
| Covariance Type: | opg |
| coef | std err | z | P>|z| | [0.025 | 0.975] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ar.L1 | 1.2722 | 0.085 | 14.978 | 0.000 | 1.106 | 1.439 |
| ar.L2 | -0.3217 | 0.068 | -4.762 | 0.000 | -0.454 | -0.189 |
| ma.L1 | -1.6551 | 0.077 | -21.556 | 0.000 | -1.806 | -1.505 |
| ma.L2 | 0.6597 | 0.075 | 8.826 | 0.000 | 0.513 | 0.806 |
| sigma2 | 0.3975 | 0.009 | 44.704 | 0.000 | 0.380 | 0.415 |
| Ljung-Box (L1) (Q): | 0.01 | Jarque-Bera (JB): | 814.33 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prob(Q): | 0.91 | Prob(JB): | 0.00 |
| Heteroskedasticity (H): | 0.85 | Skew: | 0.12 |
| Prob(H) (two-sided): | 0.07 | Kurtosis: | 6.65 |
#modeloarima1=sm.tsa.SARIMAX(X_train, trend='n', order=(4,1,2))
#ajustearima1=modeloarima1.fit()
#print('ARIMA(4,1,2)')
#print(ajustearima1.summary())
#modeloarima2=sm.tsa.SARIMAX(X_train, trend='n', order=(4,1,1))
#ajustearima2=modeloarima2.fit()
#print('ARIMA(4,1,1)')
#print(ajustearima2.summary())
modeloarima3=sm.tsa.SARIMAX(X_train, trend='n', order=(3,1,3))
ajustearima3=modeloarima3.fit()
print('ARIMA(4,1,3)')
print(ajustearima3.summary())
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/base/tsa_model.py:471: ValueWarning: No frequency information was provided, so inferred frequency D will be used. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/base/tsa_model.py:471: ValueWarning: No frequency information was provided, so inferred frequency D will be used. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters.
ARIMA(4,1,3)
SARIMAX Results
==============================================================================
Dep. Variable: ValorObservado No. Observations: 1465
Model: SARIMAX(3, 1, 3) Log Likelihood -1401.741
Date: Wed, 23 Nov 2022 AIC 2817.483
Time: 01:33:06 BIC 2854.505
Sample: 01-01-2017 HQIC 2831.292
- 01-04-2021
Covariance Type: opg
==============================================================================
coef std err z P>|z| [0.025 0.975]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ar.L1 0.3918 0.147 2.662 0.008 0.103 0.680
ar.L2 0.8434 0.191 4.409 0.000 0.468 1.218
ar.L3 -0.3137 0.090 -3.486 0.000 -0.490 -0.137
ma.L1 -0.7662 0.142 -5.390 0.000 -1.045 -0.488
ma.L2 -0.8691 0.229 -3.799 0.000 -1.317 -0.421
ma.L3 0.6415 0.121 5.283 0.000 0.404 0.879
sigma2 0.3962 0.009 44.679 0.000 0.379 0.414
===================================================================================
Ljung-Box (L1) (Q): 0.02 Jarque-Bera (JB): 816.57
Prob(Q): 0.88 Prob(JB): 0.00
Heteroskedasticity (H): 0.85 Skew: 0.13
Prob(H) (two-sided): 0.08 Kurtosis: 6.65
===================================================================================
Warnings:
[1] Covariance matrix calculated using the outer product of gradients (complex-step).
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Por lo tanto el modelo seleccionado es el ARIMA(3,1,3)
ARIMA_mod=sm.tsa.SARIMAX(X_train, trend='n', order=(3,1,3))
ARIMA_model=ARIMA_mod.fit()
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/base/tsa_model.py:471: ValueWarning: No frequency information was provided, so inferred frequency D will be used. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/base/tsa_model.py:471: ValueWarning: No frequency information was provided, so inferred frequency D will be used. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Homocedasticidad, Normalidad y Correlogramas
#####AnƔlisis de Residuales######
residuales=ARIMA_model.resid####Residuales no estandarizados
graf_resid=ARIMA_model.plot_diagnostics()
#plt.show()
## Hipótesis nula de no heterocedasticidad
ARIMA_model.test_heteroskedasticity(method='breakvar') #[Est. de prueba, p-valor]
## Hipótesis nula de normalidad
ARIMA_model.test_normality(method='jarquebera')
#1. EstadĆstica de prueba
#2. El p valor
#3. Sesgo estimado de los datos
#4. Curtosis estimada
## Hipótesis nula indica que no se presenta correlación serial
array([[8.16568246e+002, 4.83568793e-178, 1.27794283e-001,
6.64979988e+000]])
GrƔficas CUSUM y CUSUM CUADRADO
Res_estand=ajustearima3.standardized_forecasts_error.reshape(1465,)
##CUSUM
cum=Res_estand.cumsum()
N=len(Res_estand)
N
Af_cusum=0.948###Cuantil estadĆstica cusum
LS=Af_cusum*math.sqrt(N)+2*Af_cusum*np.arange(1,N+1)/math.sqrt(N)
LI=-LS
plt.plot(cum)
plt.plot(LS,color='red')
plt.plot(LI,color='red')
plt.xlabel("t")
plt.ylabel("Cusm")
plt.title('EstadĆstica Cusum')
Text(0.5, 1.0, 'EstadĆstica Cusum')
#CUSUMQ
cumq=(Res_estand**2).cumsum()/sum(Res_estand**2)
co=0.13291####Valor del cuantil aproximado para cusumsq para n/2
LQS=co+np.arange(1,N+1)/N
LQI=-co+np.arange(1,N+1)/N
plt.plot(cumq)
plt.plot(LQS,color='red')
plt.plot(LQI,color='red')
plt.xlabel("t")
plt.ylabel("Cusm")
plt.title('EstadĆstica Cusumsq')
Text(0.5, 1.0, 'EstadĆstica Cusumsq')
## Rolling
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
val = df.values
size = len(df[:1465])
train, test = val[1:size], val[size:len(val)]
history = [x for x in train]
predicciones = list()
for t in range(len(test)):
modelo = sm.tsa.statespace.SARIMAX(history, trend='n', order=(3,1,3))
modelo_fit = modelo.fit(disp=0)
output = modelo_fit.forecast()
yhat = output[0]
predicciones.append(yhat)
obs = test[t]
history.append(obs)
print('Predicción=%f, Esperado=%f' % (yhat, obs))
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.048250, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.100327, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.915657, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.985208, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.850243, Esperado=13.904167
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.086425, Esperado=14.095833
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.343691, Esperado=14.689583
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.956100, Esperado=14.812500
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.996150, Esperado=14.525000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.096810, Esperado=14.435417
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.929768, Esperado=14.772917 Predicción=14.339364, Esperado=14.225000 Predicción=13.878769, Esperado=14.554167
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.248322, Esperado=15.037500
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.411382, Esperado=14.262500
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.139183, Esperado=13.660417 Predicción=13.583342, Esperado=14.210417
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.014423, Esperado=14.185417 Predicción=13.848590, Esperado=14.747917
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.365035, Esperado=14.202083
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.916428, Esperado=13.739583
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.772820, Esperado=13.775000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.591333, Esperado=13.952083
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.831228, Esperado=14.037500
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.728948, Esperado=15.393750
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.745862, Esperado=13.760417
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.691540, Esperado=13.306250
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.516218, Esperado=14.506250
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.043342, Esperado=14.958333
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.545592, Esperado=15.801655 Predicción=15.310719, Esperado=14.427083 Predicción=14.412201, Esperado=15.010417
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.635424, Esperado=15.353125
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.995686, Esperado=14.982927
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.690456, Esperado=15.475000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.098988, Esperado=12.189236 Predicción=12.985720, Esperado=11.627461
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.478444, Esperado=11.453141
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.016649, Esperado=10.639943
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.409150, Esperado=10.501130
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.039205, Esperado=10.137255 Predicción=10.723662, Esperado=10.589365 Predicción=10.764278, Esperado=10.751375 Predicción=10.937754, Esperado=10.605245
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.725118, Esperado=11.199156
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.205003, Esperado=10.319318
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.542604, Esperado=10.322792
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.622956, Esperado=10.043812
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.274920, Esperado=9.711139
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.135731, Esperado=9.556838
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=9.878690, Esperado=10.546127
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.558688, Esperado=10.386885
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.393826, Esperado=11.358172
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.142692, Esperado=10.740192
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.724908, Esperado=12.566669
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.035983, Esperado=12.406918
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.984770, Esperado=10.718101
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.140548, Esperado=11.061100
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.157566, Esperado=10.096182
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.628952, Esperado=10.305365
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.521788, Esperado=11.195045
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.143992, Esperado=11.117990
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.054496, Esperado=11.254932
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.251760, Esperado=11.857158
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.575720, Esperado=11.326666
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.419388, Esperado=10.898674
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.032090, Esperado=10.467782
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.811259, Esperado=10.176652
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.475296, Esperado=10.741586
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.837840, Esperado=12.725072
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.039787, Esperado=12.053330
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.886201, Esperado=10.760028
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.023664, Esperado=10.765282
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.004433, Esperado=10.923616
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.011346, Esperado=11.228104
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.228235, Esperado=10.116462
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.493999, Esperado=10.699347
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.813479, Esperado=11.118090
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.049275, Esperado=11.633818
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.463040, Esperado=13.181500
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.471105, Esperado=11.716918
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.712025, Esperado=10.936443 Predicción=11.201013, Esperado=10.959290
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.140120, Esperado=10.937249
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.094607, Esperado=11.071480
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.133916, Esperado=12.777165
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.199284, Esperado=15.513420
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.139921, Esperado=15.134960
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.198845, Esperado=15.343031 Predicción=14.539336, Esperado=15.427457
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.748110, Esperado=13.111795 Predicción=13.226983, Esperado=11.101287
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.844088, Esperado=11.349725
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.890501, Esperado=11.678762
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.892040, Esperado=10.773206
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.248408, Esperado=11.396884
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.541217, Esperado=12.913803
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.552306, Esperado=10.605767
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.038097, Esperado=10.881137
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.195578, Esperado=11.102247
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.194553, Esperado=11.221336
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.321365, Esperado=12.562404
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.143402, Esperado=11.300695
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.436116, Esperado=11.746363
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.677332, Esperado=11.516996
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.560463, Esperado=10.949360
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.153418, Esperado=11.712330
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.649044, Esperado=11.814328 Predicción=11.697993, Esperado=11.961618
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.860005, Esperado=12.608110
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.277038, Esperado=12.606314
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.354487, Esperado=12.429562
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.273286, Esperado=11.554298
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.733385, Esperado=11.373678
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.557570, Esperado=10.858738 Predicción=11.176553, Esperado=9.319421
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.079078, Esperado=10.886243
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.994967, Esperado=10.639914
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.771612, Esperado=10.605574
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.785488, Esperado=10.944002
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.937723, Esperado=11.035748
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.066660, Esperado=11.633389
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.423432, Esperado=11.981947
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.731499, Esperado=10.937933
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.065326, Esperado=11.185363
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.258468, Esperado=9.750637
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.247630, Esperado=11.086346
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.118677, Esperado=11.560018
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.356771, Esperado=12.020559
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.828544, Esperado=12.470617
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.067712, Esperado=12.260976
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.103987, Esperado=12.179022
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.997903, Esperado=11.366948
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.536162, Esperado=12.112803
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.952463, Esperado=11.688320
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.738589, Esperado=11.939613
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.858840, Esperado=12.216225
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.080519, Esperado=12.454674
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.227049, Esperado=12.553978
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.357520, Esperado=12.169758
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.109284, Esperado=11.470051
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.669401, Esperado=11.721944
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.772512, Esperado=11.005056
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.293823, Esperado=12.425393
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.166437, Esperado=11.779217
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.757110, Esperado=11.962201
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.920279, Esperado=11.995578
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.913958, Esperado=12.145927
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.067834, Esperado=12.431854
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.225069, Esperado=12.241948
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.162549, Esperado=11.783062
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.830148, Esperado=11.849130
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.895941, Esperado=11.632640
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.690497, Esperado=11.720925
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.767944, Esperado=10.919459
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.179236, Esperado=10.769530
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.080058, Esperado=11.310147
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.327144, Esperado=11.644863
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.587411, Esperado=11.839470
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.692767, Esperado=11.382692
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.456164, Esperado=11.325762
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.378655, Esperado=11.521251
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.529087, Esperado=11.125536
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.233777, Esperado=10.830612
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.054686, Esperado=11.267479
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.281485, Esperado=11.275936
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.304694, Esperado=9.976404
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.424135, Esperado=10.483145
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.717219, Esperado=10.878166
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.895429, Esperado=11.063389
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.071534, Esperado=11.610578
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.405590, Esperado=10.467043
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.724179, Esperado=10.570002
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.745059, Esperado=10.928022
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.963640, Esperado=10.955242
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.978321, Esperado=10.771634
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.868732, Esperado=10.328174
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.560888, Esperado=9.892698
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.250034, Esperado=10.935253
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.888608, Esperado=10.352670
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.519518, Esperado=9.406922
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=9.883647, Esperado=9.795370
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.059425, Esperado=10.960858
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.805515, Esperado=11.163661
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.974762, Esperado=11.057287
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.975952, Esperado=10.699836
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.760540, Esperado=11.201507
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.115616, Esperado=11.403890
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.251757, Esperado=10.993720
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.045322, Esperado=9.929940
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.320100, Esperado=10.386170
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.584649, Esperado=11.229247
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.078601, Esperado=11.376511
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.243901, Esperado=11.443807
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.301139, Esperado=9.764229
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.271978, Esperado=9.912467
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.248124, Esperado=10.490149
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.573357, Esperado=10.910690
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.846977, Esperado=10.967284
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.921648, Esperado=10.881197
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.850451, Esperado=11.420413
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.267123, Esperado=10.789903
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.874996, Esperado=10.678103
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.809388, Esperado=10.991755
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.976874, Esperado=11.474312
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.324322, Esperado=11.068369
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.076842, Esperado=10.795270
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.927167, Esperado=11.829580
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.572486, Esperado=10.370266
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.657320, Esperado=10.231158
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.538963, Esperado=9.229968
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=9.794826, Esperado=11.312520 Predicción=11.113729, Esperado=15.113555
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.640983, Esperado=14.411025
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.477251, Esperado=12.267202
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.192033, Esperado=12.109481
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.118631, Esperado=12.392894
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.276674, Esperado=12.005023
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.035704, Esperado=11.973447
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.976969, Esperado=11.997905
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.996164, Esperado=7.833924
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=9.210723, Esperado=14.086301
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.003581, Esperado=11.835636 Predicción=11.899587, Esperado=12.154938
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.993564, Esperado=11.638630
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.701864, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.967830, Esperado=12.084829
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.877836, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.053331, Esperado=12.310641
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.146154, Esperado=12.318813
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.268147, Esperado=13.294149
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.791461, Esperado=12.607703
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.444357, Esperado=12.339091 Predicción=12.292566, Esperado=12.218233
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.204071, Esperado=11.997915
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.049458, Esperado=11.484860
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.689451, Esperado=11.565582
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.682951, Esperado=11.804088
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.801085, Esperado=11.224449
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.435063, Esperado=10.695781
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.047263, Esperado=11.196997 Predicción=11.292631, Esperado=10.644450
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.906304, Esperado=10.743692
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.933717, Esperado=11.229272
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.200750, Esperado=10.679783
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.873028, Esperado=11.029767
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.066124, Esperado=10.853505 Predicción=10.954640, Esperado=11.218304
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.172755, Esperado=14.608000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.472039, Esperado=14.619192
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.669304, Esperado=13.394737
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.945975, Esperado=13.483000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.190608, Esperado=14.152083
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.483896, Esperado=13.561856
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.336829, Esperado=13.732323
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.439079, Esperado=14.229703
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.737157, Esperado=14.128431
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.768462, Esperado=13.656566
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.493595, Esperado=14.731250
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.096538, Esperado=14.755446
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.339273, Esperado=14.190909
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.963878, Esperado=13.908081
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.841417, Esperado=14.428866
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.183232, Esperado=14.637000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.415368, Esperado=14.355882
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.237238, Esperado=14.379208
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.300797, Esperado=14.901010
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.593091, Esperado=14.137374
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.220786, Esperado=13.501042
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.716619, Esperado=14.625253
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.423158, Esperado=14.868317
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.481041, Esperado=14.956311
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.626661, Esperado=16.274757
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.550669, Esperado=15.870408
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.540099, Esperado=15.423762
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.258794, Esperado=15.578000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.385068, Esperado=15.883673
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.588336, Esperado=15.062626 Predicción=15.126707, Esperado=15.024242
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.875731, Esperado=13.848000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.216139, Esperado=15.004950
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.936930, Esperado=15.237113
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.984351, Esperado=15.280808
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.098056, Esperado=15.814737
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.547455, Esperado=14.193939
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.530151, Esperado=13.630612
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.870577, Esperado=13.374257
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.807179, Esperado=13.992708
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.156130, Esperado=14.209709
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.271494, Esperado=14.584848
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.535181, Esperado=14.463636
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.485478, Esperado=15.170833
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.934873, Esperado=14.745098
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.698615, Esperado=14.848000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.797952, Esperado=15.171287
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.980826, Esperado=14.476768
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.540743, Esperado=15.166327
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.914175, Esperado=14.316327
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.484152, Esperado=14.372000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.394680, Esperado=14.168687
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.290496, Esperado=14.838776
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.705528, Esperado=13.208313
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.691072, Esperado=11.924850
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.773480, Esperado=11.312672
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.145227, Esperado=11.809373
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.365134, Esperado=10.413340
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.330895, Esperado=10.923445
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.560511, Esperado=11.402217
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.782329, Esperado=11.661244
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.684994, Esperado=11.189472
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.576525, Esperado=12.089160
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.983419, Esperado=12.085063
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.990483, Esperado=11.238124
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.582675, Esperado=11.361238
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.567596, Esperado=11.600993
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.868755, Esperado=12.299494
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.175741, Esperado=11.778526
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.953149, Esperado=11.223333
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.586447, Esperado=10.984214
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.419436, Esperado=11.403996
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.458500, Esperado=11.379385
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.475890, Esperado=11.449462
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.515184, Esperado=11.115287
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.354317, Esperado=11.423239
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.460482, Esperado=11.002445
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.195553, Esperado=10.697950
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.067842, Esperado=11.472068
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.418661, Esperado=11.917354
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.805453, Esperado=11.313914
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.505872, Esperado=10.783473
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.130651, Esperado=10.934725
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.099307, Esperado=11.011451
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.080315, Esperado=11.164761
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.194543, Esperado=10.787241
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.937507, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.825913, Esperado=11.486280
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.494019, Esperado=11.031364
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.191596, Esperado=11.622056
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.543603, Esperado=12.158766
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.026073, Esperado=12.425816
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.193568, Esperado=11.908727
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.923450, Esperado=11.285624
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.407828, Esperado=10.875324
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.212090, Esperado=11.348469
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.349322, Esperado=11.169345
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.273898, Esperado=10.819856
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.004401, Esperado=11.373000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.344329, Esperado=10.888649
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.024287, Esperado=11.754544
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.598320, Esperado=11.808824
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.689483, Esperado=11.784558
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.713379, Esperado=11.799163
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.681373, Esperado=11.896085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.823035, Esperado=11.595586
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.579757, Esperado=11.512913
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.569668, Esperado=11.365882
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.396203, Esperado=11.101017
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.269256, Esperado=11.327841
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.328779, Esperado=10.928758
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.181888, Esperado=10.474350 Predicción=10.734687, Esperado=11.333574
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
d=pd.DataFrame(predicciones)
d=d.set_index(df.index[len(X_train):])
d=pd.concat([d, X_test], axis=1)
d['ARIMA_Predict']=d[0]
joblib.dump(d,'/content/drive/Shareddrives/Mineria /ARIMA_Predict')
['/content/drive/Shareddrives/Mineria /ARIMA_Predict']
# plot y_train, y_test, and testPredict using plotly
fig = go.Figure()
fig.add_trace(
go.Scatter(
x=df.index[: len(X_train)],
y=X_train['ValorObservado'],
mode="lines",
name="Entrenamiento",
)
)
fig.add_trace(
go.Scatter(
x=df.index[len(X_train):],
y=X_test['ValorObservado'],
mode="lines",
name="Prueba",
)
)
fig.add_trace(
go.Scatter(
x=df.index[len(X_train):],
y=d.ARIMA_Predict,
mode="lines",
name="Predicción",
)
)
fig.update_xaxes(title_text="Fecha")
fig.update_yaxes(title_text="ValorObservado")
fig.show()
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
error = mean_squared_error(d.ValorObservado, d.ARIMA_Predict)
print('Test Score: %.2f RMSE' % (error))
Test Score: 0.68 RMSE
## Rolling
val = df.values
size = len(df[:1465])
train, test = val[1:size], val[size:len(val)]
history = [x for x in train]
predicciones = list()
for t in range(len(test)):
modelo = sm.tsa.statespace.SARIMAX(history, trend='n', order=(3,1,3))
modelo_fit = modelo.fit(disp=0)
output = modelo_fit.forecast(5)
yhat = output[4]
predicciones.append(yhat)
obs = test[t]
history.append(obs)
print('Predicción=%f, Esperado=%f' % (yhat, obs))
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:966: UserWarning: Non-stationary starting autoregressive parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/tsa/statespace/sarimax.py:978: UserWarning: Non-invertible starting MA parameters found. Using zeros as starting parameters. /usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.996235, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.924534, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.733528, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.809168, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.703210, Esperado=13.904167
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.347146, Esperado=14.095833
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.627150, Esperado=14.689583
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.063270, Esperado=14.812500
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.199312, Esperado=14.525000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.368920, Esperado=14.435417
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.311761, Esperado=14.772917 Predicción=13.595119, Esperado=14.225000 Predicción=13.342733, Esperado=14.554167
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.600409, Esperado=15.037500
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.705159, Esperado=14.262500
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.617803, Esperado=13.660417 Predicción=13.249778, Esperado=14.210417
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.490843, Esperado=14.185417 Predicción=13.390832, Esperado=14.747917
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.735649, Esperado=14.202083
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.497138, Esperado=13.739583
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.434999, Esperado=13.775000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.253732, Esperado=13.952083
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.440223, Esperado=14.037500
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.327837, Esperado=15.393750
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.979085, Esperado=13.760417
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.459589, Esperado=13.306250
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.343224, Esperado=14.506250
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.600546, Esperado=14.958333
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.004525, Esperado=15.801655 Predicción=14.806760, Esperado=14.427083 Predicción=14.104045, Esperado=15.010417
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.200593, Esperado=15.353125
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.490141, Esperado=14.982927
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.290132, Esperado=15.475000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.623104, Esperado=12.189236 Predicción=13.344311, Esperado=11.627461
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.787278, Esperado=11.453141
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.317782, Esperado=10.639943
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.791822, Esperado=10.501130
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.462453, Esperado=10.137255 Predicción=11.106108, Esperado=10.589365 Predicción=11.018839, Esperado=10.751375 Predicción=11.105867, Esperado=10.605245
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.977676, Esperado=11.199156
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.285090, Esperado=10.319318
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.845332, Esperado=10.322792
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.885357, Esperado=10.043812
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.628084, Esperado=9.711139
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.482065, Esperado=9.556838
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.384249, Esperado=10.546127
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.736378, Esperado=10.386885
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.637753, Esperado=11.358172
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.089798, Esperado=10.740192
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.891658, Esperado=12.566669
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.713711, Esperado=12.406918
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.798388, Esperado=10.718101
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.350234, Esperado=11.061100
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.326006, Esperado=10.096182
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.020378, Esperado=10.305365
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.822346, Esperado=11.195045
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.190379, Esperado=11.117990
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.169223, Esperado=11.254932
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.295369, Esperado=11.857158
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.520274, Esperado=11.326666
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.482868, Esperado=10.898674
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.205311, Esperado=10.467782
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.063998, Esperado=10.176652
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.799711, Esperado=10.741586
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.979798, Esperado=12.725072
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.752534, Esperado=12.053330
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.753943, Esperado=10.760028
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.253002, Esperado=10.765282
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.186703, Esperado=10.923616
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.152254, Esperado=11.228104
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.258886, Esperado=10.116462
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.828137, Esperado=10.699347
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.957321, Esperado=11.118090
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.078086, Esperado=11.633818
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.392007, Esperado=13.181500
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.973491, Esperado=11.716918
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.675529, Esperado=10.936443 Predicción=11.369760, Esperado=10.959290
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.280479, Esperado=10.937249
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.221742, Esperado=11.071480
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.212577, Esperado=12.777165
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.849632, Esperado=15.513420
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.005013, Esperado=15.134960
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.338002, Esperado=15.343031 Predicción=13.671116, Esperado=15.427457
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.985359, Esperado=13.111795 Predicción=13.475540, Esperado=11.101287
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.283820, Esperado=11.349725
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.181603, Esperado=11.678762
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.019293, Esperado=10.773206
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.594228, Esperado=11.396884
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.649227, Esperado=12.913803
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.192562, Esperado=10.605767
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.401194, Esperado=10.881137
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.416714, Esperado=11.102247
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.347622, Esperado=11.221336
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.401762, Esperado=12.562404
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.835465, Esperado=11.300695
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.529768, Esperado=11.746363
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.645225, Esperado=11.516996
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.589182, Esperado=10.949360
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.356927, Esperado=11.712330
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.596934, Esperado=11.814328 Predicción=11.633651, Esperado=11.961618
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.758617, Esperado=12.608110
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.000347, Esperado=12.606314
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.097811, Esperado=12.429562
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.093057, Esperado=11.554298
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.822303, Esperado=11.373678
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.673164, Esperado=10.858738 Predicción=11.429171, Esperado=9.319421
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.759814, Esperado=10.886243
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.117386, Esperado=10.639914
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.981325, Esperado=10.605574
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.995755, Esperado=10.944002
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.033371, Esperado=11.035748
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.148975, Esperado=11.633389
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.319157, Esperado=11.981947
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.537684, Esperado=10.937933
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.225811, Esperado=11.185363
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.317700, Esperado=9.750637
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.768098, Esperado=11.086346
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.183102, Esperado=11.560018
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.308203, Esperado=12.020559
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.652892, Esperado=12.470617
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.799273, Esperado=12.260976
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.912912, Esperado=12.179022
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.863359, Esperado=11.366948
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.623616, Esperado=12.112803
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.815917, Esperado=11.688320
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.733146, Esperado=11.939613
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.776068, Esperado=12.216225
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.918437, Esperado=12.454674
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.010224, Esperado=12.553978
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.116775, Esperado=12.169758
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.014173, Esperado=11.470051
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.777703, Esperado=11.721944
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.783714, Esperado=11.005056
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.503107, Esperado=12.425393
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.916871, Esperado=11.779217
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.745248, Esperado=11.962201
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.819387, Esperado=11.995578
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.834768, Esperado=12.145927
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.940730, Esperado=12.431854
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.027964, Esperado=12.241948
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.018768, Esperado=11.783062
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.843865, Esperado=11.849130
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.864937, Esperado=11.632640
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.733174, Esperado=11.720925
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.748639, Esperado=10.919459
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.424138, Esperado=10.769530
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.318604, Esperado=11.310147
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.388954, Esperado=11.644863
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.534964, Esperado=11.839470
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.603357, Esperado=11.382692
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.505404, Esperado=11.325762
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.455568, Esperado=11.521251
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.527587, Esperado=11.125536
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.361710, Esperado=10.830612
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.247974, Esperado=11.267479
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.349127, Esperado=11.275936
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.349676, Esperado=9.976404
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.876687, Esperado=10.483145
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.955432, Esperado=10.878166
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.014640, Esperado=11.063389
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.135345, Esperado=11.610578
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.307483, Esperado=10.467043
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.988919, Esperado=10.570002
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.963065, Esperado=10.928022
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.056434, Esperado=10.955242
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.066406, Esperado=10.771634
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.009706, Esperado=10.328174
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.836753, Esperado=9.892698
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.634971, Esperado=10.935253
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.948110, Esperado=10.352670
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.776263, Esperado=9.406922
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.387624, Esperado=9.795370
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.405599, Esperado=10.960858
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.778904, Esperado=11.163661
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.926087, Esperado=11.057287
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.981159, Esperado=10.699836
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.897878, Esperado=11.201507
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.097549, Esperado=11.403890
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.191538, Esperado=10.993720
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.125269, Esperado=9.929940
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.725013, Esperado=10.386170
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.803442, Esperado=11.229247
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.037012, Esperado=11.376511
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.167545, Esperado=11.443807
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.235782, Esperado=9.764229
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.727881, Esperado=9.912467
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.612308, Esperado=10.490149
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.733669, Esperado=10.910690
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.898902, Esperado=10.967284
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.946211, Esperado=10.881197
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.871136, Esperado=11.420413
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.187388, Esperado=10.789903
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.002814, Esperado=10.678103
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.959976, Esperado=10.991755
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.018435, Esperado=11.474312
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.229230, Esperado=11.068369
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.132871, Esperado=10.795270
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.057114, Esperado=11.829580
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.381055, Esperado=10.370266
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.942195, Esperado=10.231158
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.827358, Esperado=9.229968
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.376810, Esperado=11.312520 Predicción=10.990933, Esperado=15.113555
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.391420, Esperado=14.411025
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.571889, Esperado=12.267202
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.950730, Esperado=12.109481
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.940546, Esperado=12.392894
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.072563, Esperado=12.005023
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.963450, Esperado=11.973447
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.907891, Esperado=11.997905
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.912702, Esperado=7.833924
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=10.444633, Esperado=14.086301
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.136163, Esperado=11.835636 Predicción=11.725525, Esperado=12.154938
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.818043, Esperado=11.638630
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.718789, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.901796, Esperado=12.084829
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.916650, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.874068, Esperado=12.310641
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.090881, Esperado=12.318813
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.011667, Esperado=13.294149
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.316427, Esperado=12.607703
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.211764, Esperado=12.339091 Predicción=12.145444, Esperado=12.218233
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.093899, Esperado=11.997915
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.996841, Esperado=11.484860
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.778049, Esperado=11.565582
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.700646, Esperado=11.804088
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.757529, Esperado=11.224449
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.553921, Esperado=10.695781
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.320087, Esperado=11.196997 Predicción=11.371142, Esperado=10.644450
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.145604, Esperado=10.743692
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.116112, Esperado=11.229272
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.233121, Esperado=10.679783
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.065441, Esperado=11.029767
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.139424, Esperado=10.853505 Predicción=11.081725, Esperado=11.218304
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.185438, Esperado=14.608000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.311999, Esperado=14.619192
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.780451, Esperado=13.394737
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.524079, Esperado=13.483000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.735539, Esperado=14.152083
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.115184, Esperado=13.561856
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.946500, Esperado=13.732323
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.983440, Esperado=14.229703
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.101217, Esperado=14.128431
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.250841, Esperado=13.656566
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.124781, Esperado=14.731250
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.339560, Esperado=14.755446
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.940395, Esperado=14.190909
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.548940, Esperado=13.908081
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.596629, Esperado=14.428866
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.928083, Esperado=14.637000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.160675, Esperado=14.355882
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.122852, Esperado=14.379208
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.192811, Esperado=14.901010
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.322311, Esperado=14.137374
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.227538, Esperado=13.501042
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.929951, Esperado=14.625253
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.280484, Esperado=14.868317
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.066892, Esperado=14.956311
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.157556, Esperado=16.274757
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.938878, Esperado=15.870408
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.142060, Esperado=15.423762
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.064950, Esperado=15.578000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.187353, Esperado=15.883673
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.248562, Esperado=15.062626 Predicción=15.181397, Esperado=15.024242
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.542692, Esperado=13.848000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.537804, Esperado=15.004950
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.892317, Esperado=15.237113
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.735988, Esperado=15.280808
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.857873, Esperado=15.814737
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=15.312135, Esperado=14.193939
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.740605, Esperado=13.630612
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.824401, Esperado=13.374257
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.271742, Esperado=13.992708
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.375731, Esperado=14.209709
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.394307, Esperado=14.584848
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.513420, Esperado=14.463636
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.506177, Esperado=15.170833
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.745176, Esperado=14.745098
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.644437, Esperado=14.848000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.699946, Esperado=15.171287
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.812658, Esperado=14.476768
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.449351, Esperado=15.166327
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.681185, Esperado=14.316327
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.591759, Esperado=14.372000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.324605, Esperado=14.168687
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.386606, Esperado=14.838776
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.594520, Esperado=13.208313
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=14.046007, Esperado=11.924850
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.535627, Esperado=11.312672
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=13.012312, Esperado=11.809373
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.968183, Esperado=10.413340
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.313622, Esperado=10.923445
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.370447, Esperado=11.402217
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.475596, Esperado=11.661244
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.910267, Esperado=11.189472
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.246934, Esperado=12.089160
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.976259, Esperado=12.085063
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.022043, Esperado=11.238124
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.941199, Esperado=11.361238
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.925759, Esperado=11.600993
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.284086, Esperado=12.299494
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.237369, Esperado=11.778526
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.199585, Esperado=11.223333
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.030160, Esperado=10.984214
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.899446, Esperado=11.403996
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.613405, Esperado=11.379385
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.562823, Esperado=11.449462
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.653809, Esperado=11.115287
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.591006, Esperado=11.423239
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.565095, Esperado=11.002445
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.380332, Esperado=10.697950
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.534641, Esperado=11.472068
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.428721, Esperado=11.917354
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.884144, Esperado=11.313914
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.773020, Esperado=10.783473
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.561468, Esperado=10.934725
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.291854, Esperado=11.011451
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.202851, Esperado=11.164761
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.230513, Esperado=10.787241
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.093717, Esperado=11.939085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.906758, Esperado=11.486280
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.643368, Esperado=11.031364
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.270947, Esperado=11.622056
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.588773, Esperado=12.158766
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.030030, Esperado=12.425816
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=12.162390, Esperado=11.908727
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.847419, Esperado=11.285624
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.491885, Esperado=10.875324
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.462800, Esperado=11.348469
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.426281, Esperado=11.169345
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.372886, Esperado=10.819856
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.203460, Esperado=11.373000
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.358546, Esperado=10.888649
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.166258, Esperado=11.754544
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.465304, Esperado=11.808824
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.698915, Esperado=11.784558
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.592056, Esperado=11.799163
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.577084, Esperado=11.896085
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.687733, Esperado=11.595586
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.562207, Esperado=11.512913
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.563161, Esperado=11.365882
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.449408, Esperado=11.101017
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.381778, Esperado=11.327841
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.384908, Esperado=10.928758
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
Predicción=11.404718, Esperado=10.474350 Predicción=11.019073, Esperado=11.333574
/usr/local/lib/python3.7/dist-packages/statsmodels/base/model.py:606: ConvergenceWarning: Maximum Likelihood optimization failed to converge. Check mle_retvals
d=pd.DataFrame(predicciones)
d=d.set_index(df.index[len(X_train):])
d=pd.concat([d, X_test], axis=1)
d['ARIMA_Predict']=d[0]
joblib.dump(d,'/content/drive/Shareddrives/Mineria /ARIMA_Predict')
['/content/drive/Shareddrives/Mineria /ARIMA_Predict']
# plot y_train, y_test, and testPredict using plotly
fig = go.Figure()
fig.add_trace(
go.Scatter(
x=df.index[: len(X_train)],
y=X_train['ValorObservado'],
mode="lines",
name="Entrenamiento",
)
)
fig.add_trace(
go.Scatter(
x=df.index[len(X_train):],
y=X_test['ValorObservado'],
mode="lines",
name="Prueba",
)
)
fig.add_trace(
go.Scatter(
x=df.index[len(X_train):],
y=d.ARIMA_Predict,
mode="lines",
name="Predicción",
)
)
fig.update_xaxes(title_text="Fecha")
fig.update_yaxes(title_text="ValorObservado")
fig.show()
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
error = mean_squared_error(d.ValorObservado, d.ARIMA_Predict)
print('Test Score: %.2f RMSE' % (error))
Test Score: 0.84 RMSE